NATURAL GAS BAN
EVALUATION REPORT
Vancouver's buildings sector contributes nearly 60% of community-wide greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, primarily from natural gas heating and hot water systems. This report recommends enforcing a full ban on natural gas connections for new constructions and phased retrofits, promoting all-electric systems like heat pumps. Under medium-growth projections, this would reduce building emissions by 40-50% by 2045, achieving a benefit-cost ratio (BCR) of 1.7-2.3. Estimated infrastructure upgrade costs range from $500 million to $1 billion (2025 CAD), with implementation timeline of 2026-2030. Key benefit includes $200-400 million in annual energy savings for residents, GHG reductions of 100,000-150,000 tonnes CO2e yearly, and alignment with 2030 halving of carbon pollution. Sensitivity analysis across low, medium, and high growth scenarios confirms such viability, with BCR above 1.4 in all cases. Urgent action via provincial partnerships is essential to mitigate risks and secure funding.
LIONS GATE BRDIGE
EVALUATION REPORT
The Lions Gate Bridge remains a critical transportation corridor connecting the City of Vancouver with the North Shore. Currently, the structure accommodates approximately 60,000 vehicles per day and is increasingly characterized by severe congestion, with peak-hour delays often exceeding thirty minutes. To address these constraints, this report advances the recommendation of constructing a new four-lane vehicular bridge parallel to the existing facility. Importantly, the proposed design also integrates dedicated lanes for active transportation modes as well as transit priority measures, thereby aligning with regional objectives of mobility diversification and sustainability.
Natural Gas Ban
Mandate Evaluation Report
This report is a strategic document providing a forward-looking comparative analysis of the implications of the natural gas ban introduced in November 2024.[1] Its primary purpose is to assess and plan the electrical infrastructure required to meet the City of Vancouver's goal of halving its carbon pollution by 2030. The analysis focuses on ensuring that this significant environmental mandate is not only effective in achieving its carbon reduction targets but also makes sound economic sense for the city and its residents.
Evaluation Report of Canada Investment Immigration program
Mandate Evaluation Report
WMMA has been closely monitoring Canada's Investment Immigration Programs for a considerable period and has conducted related research, data collection, and analysis. Our focus has included the Federal Immigrant Investor Program (FlIP), the Quebec Immigrant Investor Program (QlIP), Canada's Federal Start-up Visa(SUV) Program, New Zealand's Investment Immigration Programs, as well as global trends in the migration of wealth and elite individuals.
We have conducted a comprehensive evaluation and synthesis of these programs, with particular attention toa key concern of Canada's new generation of young people: employment. Based on this analysis, we have pro-posed recommendations and directions for establishing a new Federal Investment Immigration Program.
Measuring Primary Care Capacity in British Colombia
Mandate Evaluation Report
This report examines primary-care capacity and access to durable, longitudinal care in British Columbia. Drawing on publicly available aggregate data, it distinguishes among self-reported access, the administratively defined unattached population, demand recorded through the Health Connect Registry, workforce availability, usable clinical time, funding, and regional disparities. These measures answer different policy questions and should not be treated as interchangeable.
The report proposes a measurement and accountability framework that traces how public resources are converted into filled positions, usable clinical time, available service capacity, confirmed access, and durable outcomes. Its purpose is not to replace existing health-care institutions, clinical models, or government decision-making. Rather, it offers a transparent way to identify where capacity is gained or lost and how policy results could be evaluated using consistent definitions and auditable evidence.
This is an independent, youth-led public-data policy contribution. It uses no confidential patient- or provider-level information and does not claim endorsement from the Government of British Columbia, health authorities, professional bodies, or other institutions. Its value lies in providing a transparent, reproducible, and testable analytical approach that may inform future research, policy consideration, and public discussion on primary care in British Columbia.
Designing Youth Mental Health
Service Capacity
in British Columbia
Mandate Evaluation Report
The model represents an illustrative non-emergency youth service as requests, waiting, active contact workload, repeat episodes and competing exits. Funded posts and observable-state scheduling rules determine service capacity. Public BC reports describe access gaps and measurement conventions; they do not calibrate the local arrival, attendance, workload or exit process.
The optimisation problem requires access, continuity, barrier-group access, limited unfinished-care exits and limited calendar-end open workload in the same simulated run. It searches all 4,617 combinations of 0-26 general posts, 0-18 specialist posts and nine rules. Eight compound stress corners combine demand, attendance loss and active-care exits while also retaining persistent capacity loss, person-level attendance heterogeneity and variable contact workload. Six legacy cases remain required.
The complete sequential screen uses simultaneous exact binomial bounds over all candidates, cases, twelve exit/open gates and planned looks. It executes 71,472 trajectories. Even the widest declared gate, 15% exits and 5% open workload, excludes every candidate through a required compound case. On the search confidence event the declared finite domain has no feasible design; there is no minimum-cost staffing recommendation to report.
Three frozen designs are independently checked in all fourteen cases using 400 fresh runs per cell. An exploratory mechanism experiment then compares maximum in-domain staffing with a non-purchasable near-unlimited-capacity benchmark. Under combined attendance stresses, both pass only 108/400 runs; continuity failures account for the shortfall. Removing either attendance stress supports the same benchmark in its tested case, but this is a model decomposition, not evidence of an effective real attendance intervention.
Within this model, adding posts or choosing another available rule does not produce a supported package under the strengthened contract. Local attendance persistence, interruption definitions, workload and retention must be measured before redesign. Requirements are not weakened after observing failure, and operational success is not presented as symptom recovery.
Joint Annual Planning for Equitable Mathematics Tutoring
in British Columbia
Mandate Evaluation Report
This study connects a three-year tutoring budget to annual offered places, attended learning dose and an explicit equity floor. Public BC completion records and official salary data anchor the context and teacher-price inputs. Eligible demand, site readiness, uptake and local treatment response remain stated planning assumptions. The optimisation selects when each tutoring cell opens, how many paid tutor blocks it needs and one dose per planning stratum.
An exact nested dynamic programme jointly selects nondecreasing annual activation and calendar-feasible staffing under staged annual contracts. The annual weighted coverage floor is 4.667681%. A rectangular fee scenario allows initial activation costs up to $3,000 per new cell and readiness premiums up to $15,000 per early cell-year, before administration, inflation and reserve. At the upper fee corner, the selected plan reserves $8.974m of $9m and offers 140, 140, 172 places over successive years, at 140 hours per cell-year.
The plan yields 452 offered place-years, 349.2 expected participant-place equivalents and 17.09 summed student-SD under the positive-effect transfer scenario. These are model quantities, not unique pupils or measured BC gains. The earlier annual roster, repriced under the same upper-fee staged contract, costs $8.944m and produces 15.65 on the same response scale. This comparison isolates a different feasible allocation within common contract terms.
The commitment is conditional. Under the declared standard readiness caps, two strata cannot meet the first-year floor even at their best dose-specific capacity. A premium budgets for earlier availability; it does not prove that schools can deliver it. Local eligibility, protected-group assignments, all missing-district costs and a measured learning outcome require additional records. The report identifies those records and a prospective evaluation rather than manufacturing local evidence.
